"The Maiden Play"
Many
handicappers avoid betting maidens. Betting maiden races is much
more loose than betting any other class of thoroughbreds. The
free money is certainly there. All you need to have a bigger edge
to win more than your fair share. The GSV was designed to measure
Genetic Strength from 5 generations on both sides of a thoroughbreds
pedigree. Knowing which horse in a race has the most theoretical
Genetic Strength will give you that edge. Of course, the horse
with the highest score will not win everytime, but if it wins more often than the public
expects it to you can have a lot of fun and make money using the "The
Maiden Play".
Just as I revised my GRASP program to generate the GSV in a different
way to account for whether stallion is found through a daughter or a
son, I devised the GSV2 as a method to accurately gauge the strength of
the strength of the male and female halves of the pedigree. The GSV2
has proven through tests to be better at arriving at a
better way to gauge the Genetic Strength of Maidens.
The
huge benefit of the GSV2 is that it lets breeders, buyers and bettors
get an accurate measure of 5 generations of genetic strength that
cannot be found anywhere else.
If a reader of the Daily Racing Form is knowledgeable, he/she might
accurately gauge the pedigree strength of 2 of the sires [sire and
broodmare sire] measured by the GSV2, which includes 31 sires.
Even a catalog page only shows the buyer 7 sires, some of which might
not even be known to the buyer.
"The Maiden Play" Is Simple to Use!
1.
Bet only maiden races, although the GSV2 might work just as well in
other race classes. In a recent study of 500 maiden races: there with
5098 starters [average race size, 10+], all maiden levels [cheapies to
MSW], 60 races could not be used because the highest GSV2 horse did not
meet the betting conditions. The highest GSV2 horse won 91 of 440
races [20.7%] for a profit of $196.70/$2 unit.
2. In races with 7 or more separate betting interests, bet the
horse to win that has the highest GSV2 score of 69.00 or higher.
If no horse has a GSV2 score that high, there is no play in the race.
3. In races with 6 or less separate betting interest, bet the
horse to win that has the highest GSV2 score of 74.00 or higher.
If no horse has a GSV2 score that high, then bet the horse that has the
highest GSVM score if its odds are at least 4/1. If its
odds are lower, then there is no play for the race. In small
fields, quite often the horse with the highest GSV2 score will win at
good odds.
Helpful Hints at Betting Maiden Races
Rule #1.
Decide how much cash you are going to bring to the track or withdraw
from the ATM machine at the start of the day and do not go back for
more if the GSV2 is having a bad day. Don't play catch up.
That's not smart. If the GSV2 gets off to a ripping good start
and then it is smart to play on their money, not yours.
Rule #2
I am fearless in my betting as often the GSV2 succeeds in a day because
it brings home a winner that pays huge at the wickets as the horse is
ignored by other handicappers.
Rule #3
I bet each
race the same each day. I bet the highest GSV2
horse to ALL in the exacta. Whatever the cost of that bet, I
place an equal amount to win on the horse with the highest GSV2
score. For example, if the race has 11 horses in it, the exacta
would cost $10/ $1 unit and, therefore, I would bet $10 to win.
If I get well ahead, I often put the highest GSV2 horse in the 2nd spot
on exactas to horses that have a good chance to win in my opinion.